The Second Automobile Revolution is underway! Three scenarios in confrontation

Type de publication:

Conference Paper


Gerpisa colloquium, Paris (2011)


Since 2008, many changes confirm the second automobile revolution is underway. Three of its four conditions are fulfilled. Three scenarios of transition to cleaner cars are in confrontation: scenario of diversity, scenario of progressiveness, scenario of rupture. The last, that appears the rikiest, could impose, because the second is changing in its exact opposite: the scenario of "all at once". The first is not supported by coalized actors.