Evaluating alternative fuels in USA: A proposed forecasting framework using AHP and scenarios

Type de publication:

Journal Article

Source:

International Journal of Automotive Technology and Management, Volume 7, Number 4, p.289-313 (2007)

URL:

https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-38949187164&doi=10.1504%2fIJATM.2007.017062&partnerID=40&md5=1ac7598f59106df6e4f43dbb6be4c114

Résumé:

This paper proposes a forecasting framework that integrates the analytic hierarchy process with scenario analysis techniques to explore the commercialisation of future motor fuel technologies. We analyse the reasons for the uncertainty of oil price and how it affects alternative fuel commercialisation. We propose a set of evaluation criteria including Economic, Cultural, Environmental, Sustainability and Development Time. Finally, we develop four different Scenarios to verify the robustness of each alternative. Copyright © 2007 Inderscience Enterprises Ltd.

Copyright© Gerpisa
Concéption Tommaso Pardi
Administration Géry Deffontaines

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